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AUSTRALIAN GREYHOUND RACING
RATINGS
Your Gateway to Greyhound Racing
Punting Resources, Victoria, Australia.
(Established on the Internet since 1995)
ARTICLE 2
ALLOWANCES FOR BOX DRAWS
How does one make allowances or indeed should one make allowances for Box Draws?
A difficult subject with many different approaches.
I will attempt to address 2 methods here.
1. Some prefer to ignore Box Draws. (I must admit I tend to do this myself).
2. Others allow Bonus/Penalties for Strike Rates of Certain Boxes.
I will endeavor to look at a couple of these points in a bit of detail.
IGNORING BOX DRAWS.
There are those that ignore Box Draws in favor of concentrating solely on Sectional Times.
The school of thought concludes that if a dogs Early Times say it will lead then the Box Draw should not hinder and the race should then be assessed on overall race time.
The argument here is that if a dog was ok from any box and had good early split times and was going to lead it would make little difference regards Box Draw. If it is going to drop out in a field with only one natural leader then it is going to be disadvantaged regardless of Box Draw. Can you follow this line of thinking?
There is a need to assess which dogs will have clear run early and have a Clear Run with a best overall time with this approach. We will be covering in detail in future weeks Sectional Times in more detail.
BONUS/PENALTY POINTS FOR STRIKE RATES FROM DRAWS
Many Punters like to apply Penalty points to Boxes for Strike Rates of the Particular Draws.
Below are a Set of figures one might apply to the Total Race Times of Greyhounds if taking this approach.
I invite you to experiment with these figures. They are compiled from Data gained from 10,000 race starts.
BOX 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Penalty 0.0s .02s .03s .06s .07s .07s .05s .02
e.g. If a Dog has Drawn Box 3 and has a race time of 30.00s. then it's adjusted time would be 30.03s.
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I have not touched on reading a races Pace and combining it with Box Draws.
Or in other words adjusting for likely Race Patterns. More on this angle next week.
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In the end run.. It is best to keep records. Check whether your Strike improves when you apply Penalties or whether it is better with a Raw Base Rating Time. In keeping records lies the answers we all seek.