Malaysia's
new profit gains tax, which comes into effect on Sept 1,
1999 following
the expiry of the levy on proceeds repatriation by
foreigners,
has been identified as a major disincentive for new
foreign investors
into the KLSE.
Under the rules,
profits repatriated within one year would be
subject to
30% tax and after a year, the tax is 10%.
While the idea
of a capital gains tax is quite alien to investors, it is
quite a common
feature in many western stock exchanges.
Dr Pakorn Vichyanond,
research director of the Thailand
Development
Research Institute Foundation, in his recent
conference
paper, has reviewed some of the experiences of
countries
which had employed capital controls to reduce exchange
rate fluctuations.
CAPITAL flows
often swing in accordance with the latest status of
economic fundamentals
which include growth rates, inflation, external
account, reserves,
interest rates and the stability of the financial system.
These fundamentals
exert influence on exchange rates via two main
channels:
As a guideline
for output-oriented decision-making, for example, how
much to produce,
consume or stockpile.
Resulting decisions
indicate how much is spent or received abroad or net
positions
on current account balance.
Affect sentiments of currency traders and international investors.
Because of
the significance of capital flows, some countries in the past
have decided
to employ capital controls as a means to reduce exchange
rate fluctuations.
In a recent
conference entitled "Measures for Stabilisation of Currencies in
East Asia
and Establishment of a Regional Monetary System," Thailand
Development
Research Institute Foundation research director Dr Pakorn
Vichyanond
reviewed the experiences of the following countries.
BRAZIL
In mid-1994,
severe inflation of around 2,200% per annum led Brazil to tie
its real to
the dollar and adopt stringent monetary policy. Those measures
and exchange
rate stability attracted abundant capital inflows.
Concerned that
those flows could fuel excessive private consumption, the
Brazilian
Government put into practice the following controls:
Raise the tax on bonds issued abroad by private firms from 3% to 7%;
Levy 1% tax on foreigners investing in the Brazilian stockmarket; and
Increase the
tax on foreign purchases of domestic fixed-income
investment
from 5% to 9%.
Meanwhile,
the Brazilian central bank intervened in the foreign exchange
market and
sterilised such incremental money afterwards, resulting in
higher interest
rates from 7.1% in 1993, to 21.1% in 1994 and 26% in
1995.
Despite the
additional taxes imposed, high rates of return attracted more
capital flows,
in which the capital account balance rose from 2.5% of gross
domestic product
(GDP) in 1994 4.7% in 1995.
This demonstrates
that little tax increase did not have much effect upon the
volume of
capital inflows or their composition.
CHILE
In response
to growing capital inflows in 1990, the Chilean central bank
undertook
sterilised intervention to alleviate exchange rate appreciation
and contain
monetary expansion.
But such operations
raised domestic interest rates which attracted a
surge in short-term
capital inflows to the extent that capital account surplus
reached 10%
of GDP in 1990 and short term flows accounted for one-third
of that account.
Worried that
capital inflows may reverse, the government decided to
impose controls
on short term inflows.
In June 1991,
20% non-remunerated reserve requirement, to be deposited
at the central
bank for a period of one year, became necessary for private
short term
foreign borrowing.
At the same
time, the central bank toned down its action on sterilised
intervention
so as to decrease local interest rates in harmony with capital
controls.
Such policy
mix was successful in both reducing the volume and
lengthening
the maturity of flows.
Capital account
surplus fell from 10% of gross domestic product (GDP) in
1990 to 2.4%
in 1991 and a large part of this decline was due to the drop
in short term
inflows which fell from 3.2% of GDP in 1990 to 0.7% of GDP
in 1991.
In contrast,
direct investment rose during this period. In 1992, capital
inflows surged
again so the reserve requirement was raised to 30% which
helped curtail
the volume of capital inflows and lower their short term
portion.
Chile also
opted for other measures restricting short term or speculative
capital inflows.
For example, if foreigners were to buy bonds or shares in
Chile, the
minimum amount was US$1mil and they had to hold those
assets for
at least five years.
Nevertheless, profits or dividends can always be remitted back.
Similar minimum
maturities were also required on industrial investment
but they differed
in accordance with industrial categories.
On some occasions,
the Chilean Government encouraged capital
outflows,
for example, by relaxing restrictions on pension fund investment,
so as to offset
inflows or avert excessive money supply expansion.
COLOMBIA
In the early
1990s, foreign capital flooded Colombia as much as other
middle-income
countries in Asia and Latin America.
Initially,
the central bank intervened and bought foreign exchange while
issuing local
bills to absorb injected liquidity.
Such sterilised
intervention was deemed too costly, as interest rates on
domestic bills
far exceeded those earned on additional foreign reserves.
The Colombian
authorities decided to end sterilised intervention and allow
its exchange
rate to go up.
By 1993, oil
discoveries attracted another round of capital inflows, so the
government
responded by imposing capital controls similar to those
imposed by
Chile.
However, the
non-remunerated reserve requirement must be maintained
throughout
loan maturities and the rule was applicable to all loans with
maturities
of five years or less, except for trade credits with maturities of
four months
or less.
The magnitude
of required reserve ratios decreased for loans of longer
maturities,
ranging from 140% for one-month loans to 42.8% for five-year
loans.
These measures
did not affect the volume of net capital inflows but the
short term
portion declined notably.
CZECH REPUBLIC
Abundant capital
inflows to the Czech Republic in 1994-95 were mainly
motivated
by large domestic-foreign interest rate differentials and
expectation
of a possible appreciation of the koruna.
Capital account
surplus reached 6.6% of GDP in 1994 and 16.7% in
1995.
At first, sterilised
intervention was resorted to, then 0.25% tax on foreign
exchange transactions
with banks, was introduced in April 1995.
Later, in August
that year, each bank's short-term foreign borrowing was
limited to
30% of claims on non-residents or 500 million koruna, whichever
was less.
Non-banks were
required to seek administrative approvals before
borrowing
short-term funds from abroad.
These measures resulted in a decline of capital inflows by 3.5% of GDP.
THAILAND
After the capital
account was liberalised in 1991, strong economic
potential
and exchange rate stability attracted a continuous stream of net
capital inflows.
Most of these
funds belonged to the private sector and they were
short-term
and thus highly volatile or speculative.
These were
especially those channeled through the Bangkok International
Banking Facilities
(BIBF) and non-resident baht account (NRB).
By late 1995,
the central bank imposed a liquidity requirement of 7% on
short term
NRB of less than a year.
It also raised
the minimum level of out-in BIBF from US$500,000 to
US$2mil.
In the middle
of 1996, the 7% requirement became non-remunerated
deposit at
the central bank and applicable to short term foreign
borrowings
of commercial banks and finance companies.
In May 1997,
the authorities tried to separate onshore and offshore
markets and
prohibited baht lending to non-residents to subdue
widespread
speculation on baht devaluation.
However, the
short term portion of external debt had climbed from 15% in
1987 to 50%
in 1995.
The baht was
floated in July 1997.