Malaysia's experience in tackling the destabilising effect of the economic
crisis gives
the best story when compared to its similarly affected neighbours.
This was the assessment given by a former US trade official, whom US-based
magazine National
Journal credited as "when Clyde Prestowitz talks about trade, the White
House listens".
Clyde V. Prestowitz Jr is the founder and president of Washington D.C.-based
Economic
Strategy Institute, a non-profit research organisation specialising in
issues of globalisation and
competitiveness.
Prestowitz said despite the bad Press Malaysia got as a result of Prime
Minister Datuk Seri Dr
Mahathir Mohamad's critical comments about hedge fund speculators and currency
traders,
"Malaysia is the best story in the region."
Moreover, after the initial criticism of its policies, Malaysia had seen
the International Monetary
Fund and World Bank subsequently adopting much of the country's thinking,
in particular the use
of capital controls in certain circumstances.
"Malaysia's economy was in relatively good shape prior to the crisis, and
it has driven ahead with
restructuring and reform more quickly and thoroughly than its neigbours."
Prestowitz noted that in the process, two organisations, Danamodal Nasional
Bhd and
Pengurusan Danaharta Nasional Bhd, had been created to recapitalise banks,
take over bad
loans and restructure them.
"Much of this work has already been done. That Malaysia had an effective
legal system before
the crisis has greatly facilitated its subsequent handling.
"Bankruptcy and other legal proceedings are not issues here as they have
been in Thailand and
Korea."
The assessment was contained in a "State of Asia" economic report compiled
by Prestowitz after
a visit to Kuala Lumpur in July. Copies of the report have been sent by
the institute to key
business and government leaders in the United States including the White
House and Treasury.
A copy of the report accompanied by a letter from Prestowitz was sent to
First Finance Minister
Tun Daim Zainuddin, who met Prestowitz during his visit.
In the report, Prestowitz also acknowledged that as in all countries of
the region, the Malaysian
Government was engaging in significant deficit spending and keeping interest
rates low to provide
stimulus to the economy.
"These policies, of course, will eventually hit their limits but this is not all that Malaysia is doing.
"Much thought had also been given to questions of optimal resource allocation
and target industry
programmes like those for the auto and steel industries are being re-evaluated."
He noted that strong efforts were being made to encourage small and medium
sized enterprises
while pressure was being put on the banks to lend again now that they had
been rescued.
There was also great emphasis on development of technology-based businesses,
education for
high tech era, and making the shift from labour intensive to knowledge
intensive businesses.
"In short, Malaysia is not asleep in the way that some others in Asia seem to be."
On the "much-maligned" selective capital controls, Prestowitz said the
controls seemed to be
"working pretty well and in any case were doing no demonstrable harm.
"Consisting of a (levy) that declines over time on inward portfolio investment,
they do not affect
direct investment which continues to rise."
In fact, Prestowitz pointed out that several analysts noted that the capital
controls had made
Malaysia more attractive for foreign direct investments because they eliminated
currency
fluctuations.
"Interestingly, they also do not seem to be much of an inhibition to foreign
portfolio investments,
which has come back to support and push share prices on the Kuala Lumpur
Stock Exchange up
by more than 200 per cent this year."
In conclusion, Prestowitz said Malaysia's real economy "is rebounding nicely
and should record
four to six per cent growth this year."
His forecast was based on the heavy deficit spending and easy money policies
and strong growth
in exports on electronic goods, textiles, oil and agricultural products.