TOO much gloom is unhelpful. But as things stand, it is hard to expect
anything of substance that
might orchestrate changes to the global financial system from the Apec
summit in New Zealand
next week.
We are in heartfelt agreement with International Trade and Industry Minister
Datuk Seri Rafidah
Aziz that it will not differ from the previous meetings in Vancouver and
Kuala Lumpur.
This is the tragedy of international confabulations on new financial architecture
which do not go
beyond articulating the need for it. Could Apec be different from these
international
organisations? Doubtless, it has come a long way since the inaugural ministerial
meeting in
Australia in 1989.
But not far enough. It could lend its collective weight to reform the global
financial system through
specific measures designed to ensure transparency and accountability in
the operations of the
economic agents involved in the capital flows. Its economic co-operation
programme could be
expanded not merely to come up with ideas to deal with financial crisis
(ideas were aplenty in the
last two summits) but to implement major financial initiatives.
As the sole organisation comprising all the crisis-ridden economies, it
could have been more than
a mere bystander as the regional crises unfolded since mid-1997. It should
have seized on the
occasion to establish its relevance to economies pulverised to ashes by
currency speculation.
It squandered the chance. As observed by Rafidah, Apec had a very good
chance to "very
strongly come up with something that people could accept at that point
of time (the Vancouver
meeting) and to start the ball rolling" and as for the subsequent meeting
in Kuala Lumpur, major
powers within the organisation showed caution in pushing for the regulation
of the financial system
when they could have purposefully stated their case for reform.
The vested interests of certain members prevented the Apec forum process
from participating
actively or coming up with ideas to restructure the system. Her comment
that Apec is not coming
up with any idea appears to be true. It seems impotent, maybe desperately
in need of Viagra or
Tongkat Ali potion to shake it from its stupor.
The truth is there is a huge gulf in economic thinking among its members.
The call for its role in
restructuring the system is met by a standard answer - Apec is a forum
process, not an institution.
So, Apecnomics is driven by the economic interests of the United States
and close allies.
Apecnomics does not equal Asianomics. This is why Malaysia has renewed
its call for the setting
up of an East Asia Economic Caucus, as done by Prime Minister Datuk Seri
Dr Mahathir
Mohamad in his recent trip to China and now, by Rafidah.
Both Japan and China must take the leadership challenge in formulating
an Asian stand and more
important, working together for what we call Asianomics which embrace free
market but
understand from hard experience the vital need for regulation in international
capital market and
adjustments or corrections to the liberalisation process.
Call it a new deal for Asia. Global capitalism is unequivocally understood
to be American
capitalism and it is largely moved by, what Columbia University's Bhagwati
calls, the Wall
Street-US Treasury-IMF complex. Not even in the name of 'human rights'
will anyone fight for
Asia's economic interests. Asia must rise with or without Apec.
There is much that Apec could have done but did not do or will not do.
Worse, with most
countries recovering from the crisis, many members feel that Apec is now
not an appropriate
place to discuss reforms to the system.
The current calm masks the acute need for global financial reforms. Apec
can be a prime mover
in the restructuring of the financial system. If only US and Japan will
allow the slumbering
reformist spirit of Apec to awake. Until then, we know what it did last
summit and the next
summit.