| Iraq Update From 10/10 | Global War Articles | The Truth |
KEY NEWS CONCERNING IRAQ, ISRAEL, TURKEY
& VLADIMIR ZHIRINOVSKY
J. Adams
October 13th, 1997
The *Spirit Of Truth* Page
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/
As "The Day" approaches, the pieces are quickly coming
together to help reveal "The Lie".
In my articles about "The Persian Gulf Deception", I note
circumstantial and hard evidence indicating that Saddam Hussein,
working in cahoots with Moscow, was acting in the context of a
global-scale strategic deception when Iraq invaded Kuwait and
then fought a war with an American-led international coalition in
1990 and 1991.
Read the "Persian Gulf Deception" and its Epilogue at-
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j06.html
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j07.html
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j08.html
This Persian Gulf deception has allowed Saddam to become a
symbolic victim of Western imperialism. And now, as Iraq is
seemingly being pushed too far, Saddam can lash-out, in a last-
ditch, apparently irrational way, with weapons of mass
destruction against "Zionist" oppression, i.e., he can order a
chemical/biotoxin SCUD missile attack against Israel, and maybe
other Western-related targets near Iraq, and thereby set-off a
regional war in the Middle East.
Read "Saddam's Revenge" at-
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j41.html
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j41b.html
One of the potential players in a regional war in the Middle
East triggered by "Saddam's Revenge" is Turkey, that key East-
West NATO linch-pin.
In recent months, Israel and Turkey have been forging a
military alliance and the two countries are planning to
participate together in wargames in November. Supposedly in
response to this, Syria, Iraq and Iran have been forging a
possible military alliance- a combination that constitutes a
formidable threat to Israel and Western oil-interests in the
Persian Gulf.
All in all, geopolitical developments are moving in a
direction that could mean a huge conflagration in the Persian
Gulf and Middle East where Israel may be struggling for its very
survival and the U.S. and NATO, probably operating through
Turkey, might be struggling for access to vital oil-supplies that
keep Western economies afloat.
In the context of an upcoming violent struggle for Israel and
oil, the true implications of Vladimir Zhirinovsky's (bogus)
autobiography, dubbed "Russia's Last Dash to the South", might
become clear. This book likely outlines a third world war
military campaign long planned for by Russia. This campaign
involves a sudden, unexpected southward thrust by Russia that
will primarily target Turkey and Israel.
It is possible that Saddam is currently picking a new fight
with the U.S. for the very purpose of creating a situation in
which Russia can carry out a "Last Dash to the South". Once the
U.S. is successfully provoked by Saddam into taking military
action, Iraq can retaliate in a way that sets-off a war with
Israel and Turkey. Then Russia will seemingly be forced to come
to the aid of Iraq, and possibly other Russian allies-of-old like
Syria, with a southward military thrust. Of course, Moscow may
be planning to put a right-wing dictator seemingly in power,
possibly Vladimir Zhirinovsky, before coming to the defense of
Saddam, but, regardless of how, you can bet Russia will become
involved one way or another should war erupt soon in the Middle
East.
Read "The Zhirinovsky Connection" at-
http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j05.html
In relation to such a potential conflict,
read the rather profound recent news articles below:
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KEY RECENT NEWS ARTICLES CONCERNING IRAQ
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BBC Summary of World Broadcasts
October 10, 1997, Friday
"Newspaper warns Iraq may embark
on another Kuwaiti-style 'adventure'"
Source: 'Al-Quds al-Arabi', London, in Arabic 8 Oct 97
Text of report by London-based newspaper
'Al-Quds al-Arabi' on 8th October
Numerous signals are emanating from Baghdad these days; these
reflect a state of concern and frustration and remind us in one
way or another of the period that preceded the Iraqi invasion of
Kuwait. Maybe this is the reason why the US administration was
prompted to rush to send the giant aircraft carrier Nimitz to the
Gulf region.
True, the US statement issued in the wake of the decision to
cut short the carrier's routine tour of south Asia and return to
the Gulf spoke of a desire to impose respect for the no-fly zones
in southern Iraq and to prevent any Iranian aircraft from
violating them again, but it is also true that Washington
received information to the effect that Iraq is preparing for
some kind of action to extricate itself from the current state of
siege which is claiming thousands of lives from among its people
every month, and there is no sign of an imminent way out.
The Iraqi official rhetoric against the US administration is
continuing; the same thing applies to the UN inspection teams
headed by Butler. Iraqi officials daily complain about the two
parties' humiliating practices against their country.
In addition to the statements made by Iraqi Deputy Prime
Minister Tariq Aziz in which he strongly criticized the UN
inspection teams and their impossible demands, Iraqi Information
and Culture Minister Hammam Abd-al-Ghafur has held the US
administration responsible for not implementing scores of
humanitarian contracts that Iraq submitted to the United Nations
in implementation of the oil-for-food agreement ; the contract
concerning the purchase of ambulance vehicles was cancelled, and
the same thing applies to the spare parts needed for the transit
oil pipelines, in addition to other medical and humanitarian
contracts.
Iraqi officials are fully aware that the UN inspection teams
will not submit a report confirming that Iraq is free from mass-
destruction weapons, no matter how cooperative Iraqi officials
are. And even if the commission submits such a report, there is
no guarantee that the oil blockade will be lifted under Clause 22
of Security Council Resolution 687, which stipulates that the
blockade be lifted once it is declared that Iraq is free from the
prohibited weapons.
The US administration links the lifting of the oil blockade
imposed on Iraq with Iraq's efforts to prove its peaceful
intentions, even after all mass-destruction weapons are
destroyed- an impossible condition which means that the blockade
will not be lifted in the near or distant future.
In the light of this situation, this state of despair and
frustration could prompt the Iraqi government to embark on a new
adventure to break the current deadlock, draw attention to the
tragedies caused by the blockade, and try to shuffle the cards
internationally and regionally.
The current stage of calm on the Iraqi front is not
reassuring, because the Iraqi government does not normally remain
silent about the violation of its sovereignty in the north
through the Turkish invasion and the Iranian air raids on the
Iranian opposition's bases in southern Iraq.
Iraq experienced states of siege before, which prompted its
president to say on more than one occasions, "severing necks, not
livelihood" and this phrase was a prelude to occupying Kuwait. It
is noted that the same tone is persistently repeated these days.
The Security Council, on which Iraq is greatly relying to lift
the blockade, has become one of the US State Department's organs
following its policies. The Iraqis feel that the international
community has disappointed them regarding this situation.
It is a duty to warn of some kind of an Iraqi surprise that
could make the unexpected expected, because Iraq has had enough
and its ability to display self-restraint is now rock-bottom.
The certain thing is that any adventure on which the Iraqi
government embarks will prove costly for it, but more costly for
its neighbours, since Iraq has nothing to lose.
Hopefully the Iraqi government will not behave recklessly and
the international community will make a move to ease, if not
lift, the blockade as soon as possible. And if a surprise is a
must, let it be delayed until after Iraq reinforces the internal
front, opens up politically to national forces and broadens the
circle of participation in decision making through a larger
degree of democracy.
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Los Angeles Times
October 10, 1997, Friday
"SADDAM'S SECRET WEAPON IS WORSE THAN IMAGINED;
ARMS: A MYSTERIOUS MISSILE FIRED AT ISRAEL
HAD ONLY TO HINT AT BIOLOGICAL
WARFARE TO PERSUADE BUSH TO END THE GULF WAR."
BY AVIGDOR HASELKORN
(Avigdor Haselkorn, a strategic analyst, has recently completed
a, book on the role of mass destruction weapons in the Gulf War.)
In the aftermath of the Gulf War, the spread of mass
destruction weapons and long-range missiles in the Middle East
has accelerated. The buildup of chemical and biological weapons
arsenals by rogue regimes is readily observed and is directly
traceable to Operation Desert Storm. This is the real, undeniable
Gulf War syndrome.
How can we explain such adverse results from a war fought
under the banner of the "new world order" and aimed to disarm the
nuclear, chemical and biological capabilities of a dangerous
dictator?
Recent information indicates that the Middle East came
remarkably close to the brink of disaster in 1991. In the early
morning hours of Feb. 25, a strangely armed Iraqi missile landed
in southern Israel. It was an Hijarah, an Iraqi variant of the
Soviet Scud B, topped with a concrete and metal warhead. Israeli
military intelligence suspected that it might have been a
primitive biological warhead.
The incident left U.S. decision makers, especially Gen. Colin
Powell, in a quandary. Although there was no agreement among
intelligence analysts as to the meaning of the "stone age" Scud,
the possibility that it was a warning shot on Saddam Hussein's
part could not be dismissed. President Bush knew that if an
unconventional warhead fell inside an Israeli city, the
retaliation would be swift, possibly even with nuclear weapons.
If the missile carried a biological warfare payload of, for
example, anthrax agent, it could have caused heavy casualties. It
was unclear whether the Iraqis had the warhead technology to
spray the spores in the air as an invisible aerosol, which could
be inhaled. But, U.S. defense intelligence warned, "effective
dissemination of the agent was not even necessary if a biological
weapon warhead were to be used as a terror weapon against
civilian populations."
The president knew that even if he allowed the Israelis to
intervene in western Iraq to neutralize the Scud threat, there
was no guarantee that they would be completely successful.
Moreover, the missile appeared to have been fired from deep
inside Iraq, which would have greatly expanded the search area.
Under these circumstances, Bush had little choice but to
abruptly order the "suspension" of hostilities, in effect
submitting to Iraqi strategic blackmail.
Bush can blame his military planners for this sorry outcome of
the war. Not only was there an almost catastrophic intelligence
failure in the Gulf, for example with regard to locating Iraq's
chemical/biological weapons cache, but the missiles kept coming
despite claims by coalition pilots of total kills that amounted
to 300% of the entire Iraqi inventory. After the second salvo
into Israel, the CIA warned, "We cannot rule out that Iraq will
escalate to strategic i.e., countercity, including civilian
targets chemical attacks--perhaps during its next strike."
Saddam Hussein did not resort to his mass destruction option
because those were last-resort weapons. However, intelligence in
both Israel and the U.S. estimated long before the war had
started that when the chips were down, Saddam would use those
weapons without hesitation.
When the ground war started on Feb. 23 and Iraq's defenses
crumbled, the door to Baghdad was wide open. Jerusalem and
Washington both expected that Saddam would take drastic action.
Israel's defense minister Moshe Arens on Feb. 27 phoned Richard
Cheney, his American counterpart, to warn that Saddam could
resort to chemical warfare against Israel "exactly now."
Accordingly, Arens said, "Israel must take action to neutralize
this threat." This assessment and Israel's preparations to enter
the war undoubtedly played a major role in Bush's decision later
that day to end the fighting.
In hindsight, the intelligence conception of Saddam's last-
resort strategy, the prevalence of which was unaffected by the
controversy over the Hijarah, seems to have been vindicated.
Before Desert Storm, Saddam armed 191 weapons, including 25
warheads, with anthrax agent, botulinum toxin and aflatoxin. Rolf
Ekeus, then chairman of the U.N. Special Commission for the
disarmament of Iraq, said: "Their use, which seemed to have been
possible at any time, would have killed millions of people."
Unless the war ended when it did, unless Bush heeded Powell's
warning against fighting past the "rational calculation," the
Middle East would have likely plunged into a full scale mass
destruction exchange between Iraq and Israel.
But stopping the war entailed a steep price. The conflict left
Saddam on his throne, and it also convinced Iran, Syria, Libya
and North Korea that mass destruction weapons and long-range
missiles are the new praetorian guard. Increasingly, low-
tech/low-cost chemical and biological arms are seen as
instrumental for exercising political blackmail and shielding
terrorist activity. Little wonder that a "Club MAD" (for mass
destruction) has emerged with rogue countries helping each other
develop the most deadly capabilities and the means to deliver
them. They aim not only to hold Israeli, Saudi and South Korean
cities hostage, but in due course Japanese and European as well.
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BBC Summary of World Broadcasts
October 10, 1997, Friday
"National Speaker and Russian Duma official
condemn Turkish, Iranian incursions"
Source: Iraqi TV, Baghdad, in Arabic 1800 gmt 8 Oct 97
Text of report by Iraqi TV on 8th October
National Assembly Speaker Dr Sa'dun Hammadi has received
Mikhail Gotseriyev, deputy chairman of the Russian Duma. At the
meeting, Sa' dun Hammadi praised the strong Iraqi-Russian
relations and the Duma's position on the blockade imposed on
Iraq. The National Assembly speaker called for a joint effort
within the framework of the UN Special Commission Unscomâand the
UN Security Council to close the weapons files, apply paragraph
22 of resolution 687, and lift the unjust blockade. He said that
during its autumn session, the National Assembly will resume
discussion of relations between Iraq and the Security Council. He
also denounced the Turkish and Iranian aggressions, which are
threatening Iraq's unity, independence and sovereignty, urging
the cancellation of the two no-fly zones over northern and
southern Iraq, as they were imposed as a result of an unfair and
illegitimate unilateral decision.
Mikhail Gotseriyev conveyed the greetings of Gennadiy
Seleznev, chairman of the Russian Duma, and those of
Zhirinovskiy, leader of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia,
to Dr Sa'dun Hmmadi, expressing his pride in the Iraqi people's
courage and steadfastness in the face of aggression. He said that
the blockade is unfair and should be lifted. He also said that
the Turkish and Iranian aggressions threaten Iraq's independence
and unity and that the blockade and the two no-fly zones should
be lifted. Gotseriyev then handed over a message for leader
President Saddam Husayn from Zhirinovskiy.
The meeting was attended by Sa'd Qasim Hammudi, chairman of
the Arab and International Relations Committee at the National
Assembly.
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Global Intelligence Update
Red Alert
October 10, 1997
"Russia Claims Gunfire From Turkey"
Russia's Federal Border Service on Thursday created a task force
to investigate what Russia claims were two cross-border shooting
incidents in the last 24 hours in which Turkish troops targeted
Russian forces. The task force will be commanded by Chief of the
General Staff, Colonel General Alexander Tymko. Russia claims
that a Mi-8 helicopter, evacuating a sick soldier of the Batumi
frontier guard detachment in Georgia, was fired at on Wednesday
from the Turkish village of Dzhamili. Following a forced
landing, eight bullet holes were discovered in the helicopter.
Russia also claims that, in a separate incident, a section of the
14th frontier guard post in Armenia was fired at from Turkish
territory. The command of the Caucasian frontier guard district
has deemed the incidents as intentional Turkish provocations,
"aimed at destabilizing the situation in the Caucasian region."
The Turkish General Staff on Thursday denied that the helicopter
was fired at, though they claimed that Turkish airspace was
violated by 200 to 300 meters on Wednesday. Turkish military
officials also denied reports of the second shooting incident.
We doubt that Turkey is scrapping for a fight with Russia, and
some on the Russian side have attributed the incident to lack of
discipline on the part of Turkish border troops. Whether or not
the shooting incidents occurred, the Russians are publicly
behaving as if they are taking the matter very seriously. This
is a prime opportunity for Russia to take an active interest in
events in eastern Turkey. Russia has recently been aligning
itself militarily with Turkey's foes, including Greece, Syria,
and Greek-dominated Cyprus. By claiming a direct interest in
Turkish military behavior, Moscow can now attempt to pressure
militarily ascendent Ankara to reign in its behavior. Now that
the evolving anti-Turkey alliance between Iran, Iraq, and Syria
has apparently broken down, we expect Russia's participation in
the attempted containment of Turkey to increase.
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