J. Adams
July 18th, 1997
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DOW 8000 & WORLD WAR THREE? J. Adams July 18th, 1997 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "In short, the nature of the hallucinations of Jesus, as they are described in the orthodox Gospels, permits us to conclude that the founder of the Christian religion was afflicted with religious paranoia." - Charles Binet-Sangle La Folie de Jesus (The Madness of Jesus), 1910 "...Jesus Christ might simply have returned to his carpentry following the use of modern [psychiatric] treatments." - British psychiatrist William Sargant, 1974 These quotes and others can be found at: "About Psychiatry desecrates and the Christian Church from Psychiatry Destroying Religion In the Name of Salvation" http://www.cchr.org/religion/page47.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Man is currently completely insane and headed toward self- destruction. He poses a danger to himself and all life on this planet and should be committed accordingly. Unfortunately, however, there isn't a mental hospital big enough to house all of human society, so it looks like our species will have to find a solution on its own, without outside intervention. The source of man's insanity is abundantly clear: unbridled, unrelenting selfishness, arrogance and immorality. One place this is epitomized in the current day and age is Wall Street, where man's selfishness and materialism is concentrated. This week the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached above the 8000 mark for the first time in history and then retreated below the psychologically important thousand mark with a 130 point drop today. Reaching the current high-point of collective optimism and confidence constitutes an unprecedented historical extreme of irrational expectations. The insanity of man's current expectations is rooted in the insanity of man's beliefs. In effect, people today are suffering from an extraordinary popular delusion. What is the popular delusion? It is an all-encompassing set of lies that people have come to believe so that they don't have to face there own wrongfulness and change their lives accordingly. People have chosen to live according to their selfish wills instead of God's will. They have been led by the spirit of error instead of the spirit of truth. Accordingly, the world has been heading toward self- destruction rather than salvation. Instead of collective optimism for a New World Order of peace and prosperity as reflected in Dow 8000, a rational assessment of the available information should lead one to conclude the world is on the brink of what Jesus, that "paranoid" founder of the Christian religion, warned about: a prophetic Apocalyptic war which would result in global mass destruction. Exemplifying how man persistently repeats the same mistakes over and over again and fails to learn from his errors, the current situation is a remarkable historical parallel of 1990- when the last major international crisis and war erupted. On July 16th and 17th of 1990, with a significant six-planet alignment, the DJIA closed at a then record peak of 2999.75 two days in a row. Stock prices and collective expectations then reversed sharply as Iraq massed forces against and then invaded Kuwait precipitating the Persian Gulf Crisis and a major upset of Wall Street's confidence. Consequently, stock prices plunged twenty percent by October of that year. This time around collective expectations have reached a much higher and far more insane extreme: Dow 8000. On July 16th and 17th this week, going into a full moon, six-planet alignment this weekend, the DJIA reached just above the 8000 mark for the first time in history. DJIA - http://www.timely.com/p&djia.htm Likewise, key thousand marks were also briefly surpassed in the main British and French stock indexes: Britian - http://www.timely.com/p&ftse.htm France - http://www.timely.com/p&pcac.htm Right after climbing above key thousand marks, stock prices in the U.S. and around the world have started to reverse sharply. This likely reflects a critical cyclical turning point between mania and depression in collective mood. (Note that a mid-summer turning point almost identical to what happened in 1990 is consistent with the historical circannual pattern in mass mood cycles.) Accordingly, a self-destructive international event or series of events is now likely to develop. If the turning point which appears to have occurred this week in mass mood is of Grand Supercycle scale, then the outbreak of war this time around could be of literally Apocalyptic proportions: peak.htm content.htm As can be surmised from the articles below, there are particular flashpoints around the world that are more likely than others to be the sites at which war erupts as the Grand Supercycle collapse in collective expectations gets going. These flashpoints remain the ones highlighted in the Global War articles I've been writing over the years: Korea, Bosnia and the Middle East (see content.htm ). Although I'm not exactly sure in what order these international flashpoints will be ignited, I'm pretty confident that their ignition will occur in association with some sort of right-wing coup in Moscow. The coming coup and eruption of global war is something that was planned many years ago... "War to the hilt between communism and capitalism is inevitable. Today, of course, we are not strong enough to attack. Our time will come in thirty or forty years. To win, we shall need the element of surprise. The Western world will need to be put to sleep. So we shall begin by launching the most spectacular peace movement on record. There shall be electrifying overtures and unheard of concessions. The capitalist countries, stupid and decadent, will rejoice to cooperate to their own destruction. They will leap at another chance to be friends. As soon as their guard is down, we shall smash them with our clenched fist." (Dmitrii Z. Manuilskii) (Lenin School of Political Warfare, Moscow, 1931) See- nuke.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------- THE KOREAN DIVERSION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "Artillery Shells Fly at Korean Border" Wednesday July 16 6:59 AM EDT By Moon Ihlwan SEOUL, South Korea (Reuter) - North Korea on Wednesday fired artillery shells at a Southern guard post during one of the worst border clashes in recent years, Seoul military officials said. The two Koreas accused each other of provocation on the heavily fortified border, the world's last Cold War flashpoint, and Pyongyang said several of its soldiers were wounded. No U.S. forces were involved. A total of 37,000 American troops are stationed in the South. Pyongyang radio said North Korean soldiers were carrying out normal reconnaissance when South Korean troops opened fire. "From this attack, several solders were injured and several guard posts were destroyed," it added. Political analysts in Seoul said the incident was engineered by Pyongyang mainly to rally domestic support behind North Korean leader Kim Jong-il at a time of famine and economic collapse. By raising tensions, North Korea also hoped to persuade Washington to open further channels of communications to deal with security issues, the analysts said. South Korea said the incident began when a group of communist soldiers crossed the Military Demarcation Line that runs through the middle of a 2.5 mile-wide Demilitarized Zone. The DMZ bisects the Korean peninsula under a truce agreement that ended the 1950-53 Korean War. Southern troops fired shots in the air after broadcasting warning messages on loudspeakers. North Korean forces responded with 70 to 80 rounds of rifle fire at two guard posts, which returned a similar burst of fire. Yeo Sook-dong, the chief spokesman for South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters North Korean forces then fired 10 artillery rounds that landed near a guard post on the southern side of the Demilitarized Zone. Southern troops responded with one round from a recoilless rifle. The shooting lasted for about 50 minutes and ended just before noon (11 p.m. Tuesday EDT) after the Southern side broadcast a ceasefire proposal. No southern casualties were reported in the incident in a mountainous area in the central portion of the DMZ. "It is a rare and very serious provocation by North Korean troops," said a South Korean defense ministry official, who declined to be identified. "The move appears to be intentional." The shooting occurred just three weeks before the two Koreas, the United States and China were due to hold talks to pave the way for peace negotiations. Senior officials from the four nations are to meet in New York on Aug. 5 to set an agenda and other procedural details for their talks aimed at thrashing out a peace arrangement to formally end the Korean War. Political analysts said it was unlikely the shooting would derail the peace process. Former U.S. senator Sam Nunn, who once headed the Senate Armed Services Committee, and James Laney, who just retired as U.S. ambassador to South Korea, are due to visit Pyongyang on July 20-22, accompanied by U.S. government experts. In Washington, a Defense Department spokesman said the department was monitoring the situation but "at present it seems to be quiet." Kim Chang-su, fellow at the Korea Institute for Defense Analysis in Seoul, said the shooting underlined the problems facing the North Korean leadership. "Threatened by famine and a collapsing economy, Pyongyang needs to whip up war atmosphere to tighten control," he said. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "North Korea warns Seoul against 'provocation'" TOKYO (July 18, 1997 01:45 a.m. EDT) - North Korea warned rival South Korea on Friday against repeated military provocation near the border, saying it was ready to respond with a "powerful counterattack." The North Korean government newspaper "Minju Joson" accused South Korea of launching an "open armed attack" on Wednesday on North Korean soldiers and a "deliberate and premeditated military provocation." "It is our unswerving position and will to answer the sword of the enemy with sword, a total war with a total war," the North Korean official daily said in a commentary. The commentary was carried by the official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), which is monitored in Tokyo. South Korea and the U.S.-led United Nations Command have protested to the North over the fierce exchange of fire on Wednesday at the Demilitarized Zone, following the intrusion of North Korean soldiers into the South. The DMZ bisects the Korean peninsula. "The incident took place when the South Korean puppets were escalating anti-North confrontation and new war preparations," the North Korean newspaper said. "If the (South Korean President) Kim Young-sam regime starts a war in defiance of our repeated warnings, our people and army will annihilate the enemy with a powerful counterattack," it added. South Korea said Northern forces fired artillery rounds and aimed rifle and machine gun fire at Southern guard posts as part of a provocation that began when 14 North Korean soldiers crossed the border line. North Korea said several of its soldiers were wounded in what was one of the most serious clashes in many years along the heavily fortified Demilitarized Zone. The shooting occured only three weeks before the two Koreas, the United States and China were due to hold talks to try to pave the way for negotiations aimed at thrashing out a peace treaty to replace a truce that ended the 1950-53 Korean War. Senior officials from the four nations are due to meet in New York on August 5 to set an agenda and other procedural details for the peace talks. The United States accused North Korea of the border clash but said it would not derail food aid or efforts to bring North Korea into peace talks. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "South Korea won't tolerate future provocation" SEOUL (July 16, 1997 06:27 a.m. EDT) - South Korea on Wednesday accused the North of escalating border tensions by opening fire at Southern guard posts and warned it would not tolerate any future provocations. "We strongly warn that we will never tolerate any provocation in the future," Lieutenant-General Joung Young-moo said in a statement. Joung, in charge of anti-North Korean military operations, said the incident was a serious violation of the armistice that ended the 1950- 53 Korean War. He said North and South Korean troops were engaged in fierce fighting for about 20 minutes on Wednesday morning after the North attacked Southern guard posts with about 80 rounds of rifle shots and 10 artillery shells. He said the North had deliberately tried to escalate military tensions, and noted that the incident followed several intrusions into Southern waters by North Korean navy vessels in recent months. Joung said the shooting erupted after seven North Korean soldiers refused to retreat after being warned repeatedly that they had intruded into Southern territory. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "Defector Issues New Warnings of War in N.Korea" Thursday July 10 4:50 PM EDT By Andrew Browne SEOUL, South Korea (Reuter) - A top Pyongyang defector warned Thursday that North Korean leader Kim Jong-il had rejected reform in his hunger-stricken nation and was plotting a lightning war against the South as his only escape. But Hwang Jang-yop, a leading Communist theorist before fleeing to Beijing in February, conceded he had no proof for an earlier claim that the North could launch a nuclear attack. "The North's war preparation is beyond imagination," he told his second news conference since arriving on April 20 via China and the Philippines. But pressed to back up his earlier assertion that North Korea could "scorch" South Korea, and even Japan, with nuclear arms, Hwang conceded: "I don't really know." "It is common knowledge they do have these weapons, but there is no means to verify that." Meanwhile, a U.N. agency stepped up efforts to save tens of thousands of North Korean children from starvation by launching a new appeal for $46 million in food aid. The United States, trying to coax the North into peace talks, said it was seriously considering the appeal. On Wednesday, the World Food Program appealed for $46 million in food aid to boost supplies the United Nations is sending to 2.6 million children aged under six. This was on top of an earlier appeal for $96 million. U.S. State Department spokesman Nicholas Burns told reporters: "We're going to give this very serious consideration." Other U.S. officials said a contribution was all but certain. The United States and South Korea are trying to entice North Korea to four-way peace talks with China to formally end the 1950-53 Korean War that was halted by a truce. Hwang said Kim knew that protracted war would destroy his regime and was waiting to catch South Korea and its U.S. ally off-guard with a blitzkreig attack. Hwang dismissed suggestions of a split in North Korea between hard- liners and moderates, saying: "It is a country of one-man dictatorship." But he hinted at dissent when asked if all North Koreans supported Kim. "Why are hundreds of thousands of people dying in off-limit areas?" he replied, in an apparent reference to internal exile, or concentration camps. Western intelligence officials had cast doubt on whether Hwang, the author of Pyongyang's guiding "juche" ideology, was in a position to reveal North Korea's nuclear secrets. He has spent the past several months being debriefed by South Korea and U.S. spy operatives. Hwang predicted Kim would formally take over as general secretary of the the all-powerful Workers' Party after the hot summer, when celebrations could be more easily arranged, and become president this year or next. North Korea Tuesday declared an end to a three-year mourning period for Kim's father, "Great Leader" Kim Il-sung, paving the way for the younger Kim to assume top posts. A senior intelligence official said Thursday a hunt is under way for North Korean spies in the South after Hwang told Seoul investigators that an extensive network of moles regularly sent intelligence reports to Kim Jong-il. "Although Mr. Hwang Jang-yop had not worked in anti-South intelligence units, he had gathered informaton about their operations while serving as a high-ranking official in the North," Eom Ikk-joon, a vice director of Seoul's Agency for National Security Planning told reporters. Hwang had offered names of South Koreans and others he met in Pyongyang and elsewhere before seeking defection, Eom added. But he denied local news reports that Hwang had said more than 50,000 spies operated in the South. Hwang told reporters Thursday the moles not only passed on secrets but tried to foment social turmoil in the South. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- THE BALKAN TRAP ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "U.S. hints at more arrests while Serbs protest NATO raid" By DAN DE LUCE, Reuters SARAJEVO, Bosnia-Herzegovina (July 17, 1997 7:27 p.m. EDT) - Last week's NATO swoop on indicted war criminals drew a fresh protest Thursday from Bosnian Serb leaders as the United States vowed to stick to a hard line on bringing fugitives to justice. Serb leaders boycotted a meeting of Bosnia's inter-ethnic central government in Sarajevo Thursday, saying they no long trust NATO to provide for the safety of their aides. The incident was the latest protest from the hard-line nationalist Serb leaders, who accuse NATO of overstepping its peacekeeping mandate by pouncing on two Serbs wanted for war crimes last week, shooting dead one and arresting the other. The boycott accompanied a wave of low-level violence targeting international monitors and NATO troops in apparent retaliation for the arrest operation. None of the incidents caused injuries. The United States envoy to Bosnia, Robert Gelbard, made clear that Washington would not back down from the more aggressive stance toward suspects wanted by the U.N. war crimes tribunal in the Netherlands. "If local authorities refuse to abide by their obligation to arrest indicted war criminals, we will continue to look for other ways to secure their capture," Gelbard said in written testimony for the U.S. Senate. Boro Bosic, the Serb co-prime minister, said the raid conducted by the NATO-led Stabilisation Force (SFOR) had "seriously undermined" the work of the post-war central government. "Extreme insecurity is the last thing we expected from SFOR which is supposed to make us feel safe," Bosic was quoted as saying by Serb media. He said he feared for the safety of his staff in Sarajevo because NATO had acted on sealed, or secret, indictments last Thursday. SFOR was "continuing a manhunt against innocent men which is based on alleged sealed lists," Bosic said. Western peace mediators dismissed the boycott as "political game- playing" and said the safety of Serb representatives was guaranteed by NATO troops deployed in Sarajevo, which lies inside Muslim-Croat federation territory. Three hand grenades were lobbed at a car park in a British base in the Serb-controlled town of Banja Luka Wednesday night, the fourth explosion in four days in apparent retaliation for the arrest operation. British soldiers fired warning shots and detained four suspects who were later turned over to local police. NATO offered no details about who was behind the attack. Previous small-scale explosives detonated near the offices of international monitors in Serb territory. SFOR officers said privately no serious threat was posed by the explosions which caused no casualties. They said the incidents were a long way from the violence associated with terror campaigns in the Middle East or Northern Ireland. SFOR has received anonymous threats since the British special forces operation against the two Serb suspects last Thursday in Prijedor, near Banja Luka. Both suspects were charged by the tribunal for leading a brutal "ethnic cleansing" campaign against Muslims and Croats in the Prijedor region. Although NATO said there was no orchestrated retaliation campaign, Balkan analysts said Serb nationalists were trying to test the political determination of Western powers just as they did during the 1992-95 Bosnian war. The Serbs, playing on Western reluctance to risk casualties, were hoping to force the West to back off plans to go after indicted war criminals, such as former Bosnian Serb president Radovan Karadzic. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "NATO says it's prepared for retaliation threat in Bosnia" By DAN DE LUCE, Reuter SARAJEVO (July 16, 1997 5:57 p.m. EDT) - NATO, reacting to a series of threats, small-scale bombings and the slashing of a U.S. soldier with a sickle, said on Wednesday it was prepared to respond to possible Bosnian Serb retaliation for a raid last week on indicted war criminals. A spokesman for the NATO-led Stabilization Force (SFOR) said there was no sign of an orchestrated revenge campaign but he added that SFOR troops were monitoring the situation closely. "Suffice it to say, while there are certain threats to SFOR, our forces are well-trained, well-equipped and have robust rules of engagement to deal with any situation which may arise," Major John Blakeley said. An American soldier suffered minor injuries when he was attacked before dawn in Serb-controlled territory by a man wielding a hand- sickle, the NATO-led peace force said. The soldier was cut in the left shoulder outside his living quarters and the assailant escaped before he was identified. After being treated for a two to three-inch gash, the American returned to his unit in northeastern Bosnia later in the day. The attack was still under investigation but the incident underlined security concerns after three bombings in three days targeted unarmed international monitors in apparent retaliation for a tougher NATO policy towards indicted war criminals. The latest explosion occurred early on Wednesday, when a hand grenade went off outside the offices and apartment of a United Nations police monitor in Prijedor, where British soldiers pounced on suspected war criminals last week. The blasts have caused no injuries but have raised tensions between NATO and Bosnian Serb nationalist authorities who are outraged over the raid on two Serbs wanted by the U.N. war crimes tribunal in The Hague. British special forces arrested one suspect last Thursday and shot dead another who resisted and opened fire. Both men were charged in sealed indictments for leading "ethnic cleansing" against Moslems and Croats early in the Bosnian war in the Prijedor region. NATO officers said the sickle attack was not necessarily connected to the explosions. The 31,000-strong Stabilization Force (SFOR) also said it received a threatening letter alleged to have been written by demobilized Serb officers. The letter, which invoked the extremist Serb "Black Hand" organization from the World War One era, said SFOR would be treated as occupying power and it carried a threat to send home British soldiers in "steel coffins." "We received a piece of paper and it's entitled a 'proclamation' addressed to the Serb nation which appears to be a threat against SFOR troops," Blakeley said. Serb leaders have condemned the NATO action as unjust but have refrained from inciting violence in public statements. They have also protested the use of sealed, or secret, indictments in the swoop and alleged that NATO possessed a "secret list" of suspects. The introduction of sealed indictments has set off a wave of speculation in the media across former Yugoslavia about who may be arrested next. Nationalist Serb leaders fear the arrest operation by the British may have been a test run for a swoop on former Bosnian Serb president Radovan Karadzic and his army commander, General Ratko Mladic. The Croatian weekly Globus alleged that Bosnian Croat warlords were among those named in sealed indictments. Globus also reported that the tribunal was preparing the first indictments against Croats from Croatia who fought minority Serbs in 1991. Tribunal officials declined to comment on the article. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ARMAGEDDON ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "Israel threatened to reoccupy Hebron, PLO says" By WAFA AMR, Reuters RAMALLAH, West Bank (July 15, 1997 10:45 a.m. EDT) - PLO officials said on Tuesday Israeli threats to reoccupy Hebron prompted Palestinian police to intervene to restore calm in the divided West Bank city. Israeli officials said they relayed messages to the Palestinian Authority promising "tough measures" if the unrest continued but refrained from commenting on the Palestinian allegation. "There were contacts between Israeli and PLO senior security officials on Sunday night," said a PLO official who refused to be named. "The Israelis informed the Palestinian side they would reoccupy Hebron if Palestinian police did not intervene to restore calm in the city the next day," he told Reuters. Around 200 PLO policemen intervened on Monday for the first time in three weeks to quell Arab unrest in volatile Hebron, working in tandem with Israeli soldiers. Israel handed over 80 percent of the town -- home to 100,000 Palestinians and 400 Jewish settlers -- to the PLO last January. The rest, including settler enclaves, remains under Israeli security control. Hebron has been the scene of almost daily clashes in recent weeks between Israeli soldiers and Palestinians. The latest wave of violence erupted when a right-wing Jewish woman pasted a poster on Arab store- fronts depicting Islam's prophet Mohammad as a pig. Clashes concentrated along an invisible dividing line. PLO police had refrained from intervening as youths hurled stones and petrol bombs at soldiers who responded by shooting live and rubber bullets. The official said contacts between the sides continued until early on Monday and calm was restored after Palestinian President Yasser Arafat ordered his police to halt the riots. Israel's Defence Minister confirmed senior officials held late night contacts with the Palestinian Authority and vowed to take "tough measures in order to restore order if the security situation in Hebron continued." Israeli government spokesman Moshe Fogel said Palestinians were told: "If you don't control events we will. We will take all the necessary measures to protect Israelis and restore calm." He denied the remarks constituted Israeli threats. Western diplomats said it was the second time Israel threatened to reoccupy Palestinian cities to pressure Arafat to quell unrest. The first time was last September when violent clashes erupted after Israel opened a tourist tunnel near Islam's third holiest shrine in East Jerusalem. Palestinian lawmakers warned in a statement against "an explosion" if Israeli troops re-entered Palestinian cities and called on the Palestinian Authority to prepare to confront such a measure. "We warn against explosions and the collapse of the entire peace process if Israel attacks or enters Palestinian Authority areas and we call on the Authority to make the necessary preparations to confront any Israeli moves targetting these areas," said a Palestinian Legislative Council statement. PLO-Israeli peacemaking has been deadlocked since March when Israel launched construction on a new settlement in Arab East Jerusalem. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- THE COMING RUSSIAN COUP ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "Former defense minister criticizes Russia's military reform" Associated Press, 07/18/97 11:14 MOSCOW (AP) - President Boris Yeltsin's military reforms have left the armed forces leaderless and threatened with collapse, the former defense minister warned in an interview published today. Yeltsin ordered a massive restructuring of Russia's armed forces this week, including cutting 500,000 of its 1.7 million personnel. But the fired defense minister, Igor Rodionov, warned the reforms mean the army was ``not being reduced. It is collapsing.'' ``I cannot understand why our leadership takes military reform so irresponsibly,'' he said in an interview with the Nezavisimaya Gazeta. Rodionov - who was ousted in May over criticism he was not moving quickly enough to reform the troubled military - said the government's failure to pay soldiers was making them restless. ``The lack of pay is pushing the armed forces to a situation where processes could get out of control,'' Rodionov said. ``It's necessary to fix the wage system in order to relieve the pressure.'' Rodionov is among a group of pro-military officials and lawmakers who have criticized Yeltsin's reforms. The group's leader, Lev Rokhlin, told the Interfax news agency today the massive troop cuts were poorly planned and did not provide adequate social guarantees for the dismissed servicemen. Meanwhile, former security chief and Yeltsin rival Alexander Lebed warned Yeltsin's plan could leave large amounts of military equipment and property untended. ``Will it be embezzled as has been the case many times before?'' Lebed asked in a statement sent to Interfax. In addition to the troop reductions, Yeltsin ordered the Strategic Missile Forces and Military Space Forces merged into a consolidated missile force. He also abolished the Ground Troops command, handing its functions to territorial military districts, and placed air defense troops under ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ARTICLES FOR FAIR USE ONLY ----------------------------------------------------------------------