Some comments on Australian-obligated plutonium, and more specifically, plutonium produced in power reactors in Japan using Australian uranium. A large quantity of Australian-obligated plutonium is held in Japan and in spent nuclear fuel shipped from Japan to Europe (though the Australian government refuses to reveal exactly how much).
Successive Australian governments have permitted Japanese governments to separate and stockpile Australian-obligated plutonium and to use Australian-obligated plutonium in MOX fuel. There is no question that this plutonium could be used in nuclear weapons; indeed the United States tested a weapon using so-called reactor-grade plutonium in 1962. Nor can we place much faith in the safeguards system of the International Atomic Energy Agency, a system described as "half-blind, toothless and mute" by Professor Jim Falk in his 1983 book ‘Taking Australia Off the Map’.
Concerns over Australian-obligated plutonium are heightened every time Japanese politicians advocate the production of nuclear weapons. On that point I wish to quote from a recent article by retired Australian diplomat Professor Richard Broinowski: “The nuclearisation of Japan and the Korean peninsula would leave Australia’s professed non-nuclear proliferation credentials in tatters. When Australian nuclear diplomats negotiated bilateral safeguards agreements with South Korea in 1979 and Japan in 1982, they did so on the assumption that both countries were unlikely ever to pursue nuclear weapons programs. The proposal was shaky at the time, but has become even less secure in the light of recent developments. As Japan and South Korea themselves approach the nuclear red line, they would no doubt use Australian-origin nuclear fissile material in their nuclear weapons programs. They are after all the second and third largest purchasers of Australian uranium oxide, which in various forms pervades every aspect of their nuclear systems.” (“Going nuclear, Japan?”, The Diplomat, June/July 2003, pp.16-17.)
The Japanese plutonium program, and the Australian government’s willingness to allow the separation and stockpiling of plutonium produced in reactors fuelled by Australian uranium, are fanning regional tensions in north-east Asia. That is one of our many concerns with the Australian uranium mining industry. In addition, the Australian government may further heighten regional tensions if its proposed interdiction of North Korean ships takes place.
The shipment of Australian-obligated plutonium also poses an obvious terrorist target. According to Adam Cobb, a former special director of strategic policy at the Royal Australian Air Force, we should be extremely concerned about the security surrounding enriched uranium and plutonium transports between Europe and Japan. Mr Cobb says: "These shipments are vulnerable targets for terrorist organisations like Al Qaeda. Part of that radioactive material is Australian-sourced and in that sense is our responsibility." (Quoted in Australian Financial Review, November 9, 2002.)
Plutonium-239 is
the
desired isotope for plutonium weapons. As neutron irradiation of
uranium-238
proceeds, the
greater the quantity
of isotopes such as plutonium-240, plutonium-242 and americium-241, and
the greater the quantity
of plutonium-238
formed
from uranium-235. These isotopes have unwanted effects such as
decreasing
the potential yield
of the weapon or
increasing
the radioactivity of the material thus making it more difficult and
dangerous
to manufacture
and transport
weapons.
Definitions of
plutonium
usually refer to the level of plutonium-240, which is highly toxic and
close in atomic weight to
plutonium-239 (and
thus difficult to separate). "Super grade" plutonium contains 2-3%
plutonium-240,
"weapon grade"
plutonium contains
less than 7% plutonium-240, "fuel grade" plutonium contains 7-18%
plutonium-240
and "reactor
grade" plutonium
contains
over 18% plutonium-240.
With the
exception
of plutonium comprising 80% or more of the isotope plutonium-238, all
plutonium
is defined by the
IAEA as a "direct
use" material, that is, "nuclear material that can be used for the
manufacture
of nuclear explosives
components without
transmutation or further enrichment", and is subject to equal levels of
safeguards. (Australian
Safeguards and
Non-Proliferation
Office, 1998-99, pp.55-59.)
Although
plutonium
grades with lower percentages of plutonium-240 (and other unwanted
isotopes)
are more suitable
for weapons
manufacture,
reactor grade plutonium can still be used for weapons manufacture.
(Makhijani
and Saleska,
1995, p.48.)
The ease or
difficulty
of producing a nuclear weapon using reactor grade plutonium is debated.
According to the
Australian
Safeguards
and Non-Proliferation Office, theoretical studies show that reactor
grade
plutonium could be made
to explode under
certain
conditions, but characteristics required for a practical nuclear
weapon,
including reliability,
useful yield, a
deliverable
size and storage life would be adversely affected by the difficulties
associated
with reactor
grade plutonium.
(Australian
Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office, 1998-99, pp.55-59.)
A report from the US Department of Energy (1997) puts a different view :
"Virtually any
combination
of plutonium isotopes - the different forms of an element having
different
numbers of
neutrons in their
nuclei - can be used to make a nuclear weapon. ... The only isotopic
mix
of plutonium which cannot
realistically be
used
for nuclear weapons is nearly pure plutonium-238, which generates so
much
heat that the weapon
would not be stable.
... At the lowest level of sophistication, a potential proliferating
state
or subnational group using
designs and
technologies
no more sophisticated than those used in first-generation nuclear
weapons
could build a
nuclear weapon from
reactor-grade plutonium that would have an assured, reliable yield of
one
or a few kilotons (and a
probable yield
significantly
higher than that). At the other end of the spectrum, advanced nuclear
weapon
states such as
the United States
and Russia, using modern designs, could produce weapons from
reactor-grade
plutonium having
reliable explosive
yields, weight, and other characteristics generally comparable to those
of weapons made from
weapons-grade
plutonium."
"The disadvantage
of
reactor-grade plutonium is not so much in the effectiveness of the
nuclear
weapons that can be
made from it as in
the increased complexity in designing, fabricating, and handling them.
The possibility that either a
state or a
sub-national
group would choose to use reactor-grade plutonium, should sufficient
stocks
of weapon-grade
plutonium not be
readily
available, cannot be discounted. In short, reactor-grade plutonium is
weapons-usable,
whether
by unsophisticated
proliferators or by advanced nuclear weapon states."
The US government
has
acknowledged that a successful test using reactor grade plutonium was
carried
out at the Nevada
Test Site in 1962.
The exact isotopic composition of the plutonium remains classified
information.
It has been suggested
(e.g. by Carlson et
al., 1997) that because of changing classification systems, the
plutonium
used in the 1962 test may
have been weapon
grade
plutonium using current classifications, not reactor grade plutonium.
The main
technical
barrier to using plutonium contained in spent fuel for weapons comes
not
from the plutonium's
different isotopic
composition compared to weapon grade plutonium, but from the bulk and
the
intense radioactivity of
the spent fuel. The
bulk and radioactivity make it difficult and dangerous to steal, and a
considerable degree of chemical
and engineering
sophistication
is required to separate the plutonium from the fission products and the
uranium while
avoiding lethal
radiation
doses to workers.
REFERENCES
Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office, 1998-99, Annual Report.
J. Carlson, J. Bardsley, V. Bragin and J. Hill (Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office), "Plutonium isotopics - non-proliferation and safeguards issues", Paper presented to the IAEA Symposium on International Safeguards, Vienna, Austria, 13-17 October, 1997, <www.asno.dfat.gov.au/O_9705.html>
Arjun Makhijani and Scott Saleska, "The Production of Nuclear Weapons and Environmental Hazards", in Arjun Makhijani, Howard Hu and Katherine Yih, 1995, Nuclear Wastelands, Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, p.48.
US Department of Energy, Office of Arms Control and Nonproliferation, 1997, "Final Nonproliferation and Arms Control Assessment of Weapons-Usable Fissile Material Storage and Excess Plutonium Disposition Alternatives", Washington, DC: DOE, DOE/NN-0007, January, pp.37-39.