The world runs on numbers and it is not always random. There are countless number of variables to analyze to confidently predict even the simplest outcomes. Therefore, one can only relie on past historical data analysis, situational statistics, trend analysis, commentary and even insider info. Having applied probability outcome weights to each variable, a regression analysis can then be levied to result in an outcome that is favourable 68% of the time. This does not sound like much but if you consider that an average full time, bonus paid, 6/7 figure salaried, LV handicapper's average is 56% then my methods are quite superior. Just imagine what I can do if I do this full time!

Enjoy my picks, can you believe I do this fun.

My free picks: Nov 9, 2006

NBA

DAL vs PHX - take PHX to win only, PHX is better than DAL, especially at home but -5 is still too much, even against DAL.

Results: Dal 119 PHx 112, LOSE, I did not PHX because they were good, I picked them because DAL offense was terrible. The timing was a little off, I knew DAL offense would wake up but not this soon. Cuban must promised to stay under the radar and build moral. But the bottom line is Nowitzi, he is DAL, he makes or breaks the team, similar to CLE. As in business, there is a high business risk caused by a key person.

NHL

TOR vs BOS - take TOR, they have 21 pts and Bos has 9; even without Sundin; Peca and Stagin will do more than make up for the imbalance.

Results: Tor 6 Bos 4, WIN , Mats was good but he always took the sunshine because he has been the captain of the ship so long. As suspected, the highly talented and over paid new aquisitions would easily step into the leadership roles.

Chi vs NJ - take NJ to win, its -320 but still is a gimme. Chi can barely score and has not played since last week

Result: Chi 1 NJ 2, WIN, a win is a win is a win. NJ did not take this game to seriously and risked almost losing to one of the worst teams in the NHL. Next time you can bet that they will make more efforts.

SJ vs LA - take SJ to win, its -180 but again its a gimme. LA is lucky to to have even won 5 games.

Results: SJ 7 LA3 , WIN , SJ is under rated and LA was over rated for this game interm of spreads. Captialized on the mis pricing