The world runs on numbers and it is not always random. There are countless number of variables to analyze to confidently predict even the simplest outcomes. Therefore, one can only relie on past historical data analysis, situational statistics, trend analysis, commentary and even insider info. Having applied probability outcome weights to each variable, a regression analysis can then be levied to result in an outcome that is favourable 68% of the time. This does not sound like much but if you consider that an average full time, bonus paid, 6/7 figure salaried, LV handicapper's average is 56% then my methods are quite superior. Just imagine what I can do if I do this full time!
Enjoy my picks, can you believe I do this fun.
My free picks: Nov 10, 2006
NBA
MiL vs Was: under 209, Was will slow down to meet level of playing MiL.
NHL
Ott vs PITT: One thing I leard from trading, trend is your friend until it bends and the slump of OTT is not going to bend. Pitt is a very good team, they have only lost lately either in ot, shootouts or by a goal. But be cautious because PITT is all Sidney Crosby. If he has a bad night then OTT trend can bend but I doubt it, its worth a bet especially mispriced at +105.
Ana vs Cal: Same thing about trend applies here as well. ANA is mispriced at -140. Take Ana to win.
Fla vs Buf: Buf at home is good but be cautious at the -340. Fla is a 500 and can pull an upset.
NFL
KC vs MIA: Mia got lucky last week, they are weak team, rookie couch, bad offense and bad defense, got lucky last week because CHI was so bad. KC is hot and cold but they love to throw, which saves time with potential to log points. So take KC on a 7 point teaser as insurance. Last time KC won on the road was ARZ and STL, putting up 23 and 31 points. Since the average NFL games is 38 with Stdev = 4, this is a definite over but for an added insurance, take it in a teaser.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +5½ (bought 7)
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS OVER 33 (bought 7)
NYJ vs NE: NE is good but not that good. Tom Brady is above average but he is only good as his receivers. He does not have good consistent receivers unlike Peyton Manning. In the game vs Min, he has been lucky. What are the odds of being able to spread the ball around no name receivers. This was re-enforced at the game vs IND, at the critial points in the game, where all the stats, plays and etc... does not matter, NE does not have anyone to come through in a clutch. Last meeting was in NY and NE won 24 -17, this is with Chad Pennington at peak condition and healthy. Expect much of the same thing, but NYJ had a bye week and they are 4- 4 and have recouped. NE will be victorious but not by +18 points. Take NYJ on a teaser. NYJ +18 . NE will try to spead the passing game again this week and might be successful and NYJ has always been a passing team so with insurance take over 32.5
NY JETS +18 (bought 7)
NY JETS OVER ov 32½ (bought 7)
Buf vs Ind:
BUFFALO BILLS +20 (bought 7)
Den vs Oak: Oak offense is non-existant. You have to think that we are now past the half way point, if you can't make it to the playoffs then why not go for the first draft pick. They are competing for this title along with PITT, ARZ, SF, HOU etc... While Den has always made the playoffs year after year. Just in case, Randy Moss catches some fluky passes from Walters, again take the insurance and take DEN -3
DENVER BRONCOS -3 (bought 7)
