Subject: Suharto Smog
     The Nation
      Friday, Oct 3, 1997

      Skies darken

      over SE Asia

      The "Suharto Smog" emanating
from Indonesia is not a natural disaster,
writes James Fahn, but a sadly predictable
result of Asean's environmental negligence.

      A cloud has fallen over
      Southeast Asia ­ both
      literally and figuratively.
      First came Thailand's
      financial collapse, which
      has spread like a contagion
      to sicken the previously
      robust economies of Asean.
      Now a noxious cloud of
      smoke has billowed out of
      Indonesia to enshroud
      much of the region under
      an eery midday twilight.

      While the two problems
      appear to be quite different,
      many of their root causes
      are the same: an
      over-emphasis on achieving
      rapid economic growth
      instead of focusing on
      long-term sustainability;
      creaky systems of
      governance which have
      failed to install proper
      regulatory regimes; and the
      reluctance of the region's
      leaders to criticise each
      other.

      Unfortunately, Asean's
      governments still don't
      seem to recognise these
      problems. Despite an
      apology from President
      Suharto, some Indonesian
      officials are eager to escape
      responsibility for their
      environmental catastrophe
      by trying to pin the blame
      on the elements.

      The Antara news agency
      recently quoted Azwar
      Anas, head of the country's
      National Disaster
      Management Coordinating
      Agency as stating, ''We are
      not late in anticipating the
      problem. It's a natural
      disaster which no one could
      have prevented."

      False. The haze has been a
      growing problem for years
      now, as plantation firms
      and farmers burn off forest
      and scrub land before the
      start of monsoon rains,
      generating a suffocating
      smog which has spread to
      cover Malaysia and
      Singapore. Despite
      complaints from its
      neighbours, Indonesia has
      never seriously attempted
      to clamp down on the
      politically well-connected
      plantation firms, which
      under the terms of their
      concessions are prohibited
      from setting the fires.

      This year, an El
      Nino-inspired drought has
      exacerbated the problem.
      The rains have yet to arrive,
      and may not come for
      months, allowing the
      blanket of smog to cover
      the entire region, including
      Brunei, parts of the
      Philippines and southern
      Thailand. Even worse, the
      fires have spread to
      underground peat bogs,
      which could slowly burn
      and give off smoke for
      years to come.

      But Indonesia had plenty of
      warning. Meteorologists
      have known for months that
      this year's El Nino would be
      a strong one, and that the
      drought in Indonesia would
      be correspondingly severe.

      ''The Indonesian
      government says they knew
      nine months ago there was
      a drought coming," notes
      Gurmit Singh, a Malaysian
      environmentalist. ''If they
      knew, then why did they
      not take action over the
      months to ensure there was
      no open burning by
      companies clearing land for
      plantations? This is blatant
      negligence."

      Indonesia's Anas, whose
      analytical abilities seem to
      be roughly on a par with his
      ability to manage disasters,
      adds that, ''Because [of] El
      Nino, all countries in Asia
      and the Pacific region feel
      obliged to help put out the
      fires."

      Wrong again. Other
      countries in the region are
      eager to help out because
      they are sick and tired of
      inhaling the ''Suharto
      smog", as some have taken
      to calling it.

      The haze has already been
      responsible for at least two
      deaths in Indonesia, where
      more than 35,000 people
      have suffered respiratory
      problems. In Malaysia,
      there are reports that at
      least 8,170 people have
      been hospitalised, and
      another 15,000 being
      treated as outpatients as a
      result of the haze.

      Then there are the indirect
      effects: 234 people were
      killed in an Indonesian
      plane crash thought to
      have been caused by
      conditions of poor visibility;
      28 people are missing after
      two ships collided in the
      smog-shrouded Straits of
      Malacca; and at least 271
      people have died in
      famine-wracked Irian Jaya
      because relief planes have
      been unable to reach them.

      In the long term, no one
      knows what the true costs
      of this un-natural disaster
      will be. Doctors predict it
      will cause higher cancer
      rates among the millions of
      people who have been
      exposed to it. ''Inhaling
      pollutants like this is worse
      than just smoking, which is
      done intermittently," Dr Yeo
      Chor Tzin, a respiratory and
      lung specialist in Singapore
      told Reuter.

      The damage to the
      environment caused by
      turning up to 800,000
      hectares of land into ashes
      will also be long-lasting.
      Many wildlife species in
      Borneo and Sumatra will be
      directly affected, and those
      which survive will see their
      food supply disrupted. The
      forests which have been
      scorched will take decades
      to grow back, and much of
      the land that has been
      cleared for agriculture will
      lose its fertility after a
      couple of years of planting.

      Throw in the huge
      economic costs caused by
      cancelled flights, disrupted
      shipping traffic, school and
      office closures, and what
      we have on our hands is a
      man-made disaster of epic
      proportions.

      Asean would seem to be
      the ideal forum for dealing
      with the region's many
      environmental problems.
      Along with the haze, there
      are serious problems
      brewing in the region's
      seas, where overfishing has
      decimated marine stocks,
      mangrove forests and coral
      reefs are rapidly being
      destroyed, and
      contamination by mercury
      and other toxic pollutants
      are a growing threat. But
      the grouping has been
      stymied by the
      short-sightedness and
      stinginess of its own
      leaders.

      In 1995, Asean environment
      ministers met and ordered
      the Asean Institute of
      Forest Management to
      draw up an action plan
      aimed at preventing the
      haze from recurring. The
      plan ­ designed to predict,
      monitor and fight forest
      fires through the use of
      satellite technology and
      joint fire-fighting strategies ­
      was unveiled last
      December in Kuala
      Lumpur. The Canadian
      International Development
      Agency even agreed to
      support it with US$1.48
      million in funding, so long
      as Asean matched the
      offer. But Asean has so far
      declined to do so.

      Meanwhile, as with the
      financial crisis, any criticism
      or even advice from one
      Asean country to another is
      muted by the grouping's
      policy of ''non-interference".
      (Cross-border investment,
      of course, is not considered
      to be interference; the
      Malaysian government has
      quietly admitted that 45
      Malaysian companies were
      partly responsible for some
      of the fires set by big
      plantation firms.)

      In January of this year,
      Asean's environment
      ministers met in Phuket
      and, rather than agreeing
      to fund the forest fire action
      plan, simply released a
      statement which
      ''expressed their
      appreciation [for]
      Indonesia's efforts on the
      issue of trans-boundary
      haze pollution". Phuket,
      Thailand's premier tourist
      destination, is of course
      now engulfed by smog.

      Why is Asean so reluctant
      to treat this, or any,
      environmental crisis as an
      international issue? Part of
      the answer is that
      governments try to protect
      their favoured firms from
      being held accountable for
      pollution. In the case of the
      haze, furthermore,
      Indonesia as the most
      powerful member of Asean
      has been able to ignore its
      neighbours complaints for
      years.

      But there is more to it than
      that, as became clear at the
      recent meeting of
      environment ministers in
      Jakarta, where Suharto
      offered his apology but
      hastened to add that, ''quite
      often the environmental
      issue ­ in addition to
      democratic and human
      rights issues ­ are wrongly
      used as a conditionality in
      the international trade by
      certain parties".

      In other words, Asean has
      let its opposition to linking
      environmental issues to
      trade cloud its judgement
      (so to speak) over how to
      handle a regional matter.

      Citizens of Asean countries
      may not realise that the
      grouping has adopted a
      fiercely anti-green stance
      on the world stage, actively
      obstructing green
      agreements in various
      international forums. The
      main result of the recent
      meeting in Jakarta, for
      instance, was a declaration
      rejecting a proposal that
      developing countries, which
      have signed the Climate
      Change Convention, report
      what they plan to do to help
      prevent global warming.

      At the World Trade
      Organisation (WTO),
      meanwhile, Asean
      delegates to the committee
      on environment and trade
      refused to recognise the
      use of trade sanctions by
      international environmental
      agreements. This means
      that a country can break its
      commitments to a treaty it
      has signed, and then try to
      escape any trade sanctions
      levied as punishment by
      appealing to the WTO.

      At the Phuket meeting in
      January, Asean
      environment ministers did
      not even seem to be aware
      of this threat to their
      jurisdiction, no doubt
      because it has been
      engineered by the
      grouping's trade ministers.

      Even if Asean's
      environment ministers had
      mustered the courage to
      take action against
      Indonesia's forest fires,
      there is little they could
      have done. Throughout
      Southeast Asia, control over
      forests and all other
      lucrative resources is kept
      firmly in the hands of
      economic-minded ministries
      whose primary aim is to
      profit from them.
      Environmental agencies are
      simply charged with trying
      to clean up any mess left
      behind.

      Consider, for example, the
      recent meeting of Asean's
      agriculture and forestry
      ministers in Bangkok (held
      just before the onset of this
      year's haze crisis), which
      chose to tackle fisheries
      issues. Amid much fanfare,
      the ministers signed a
      memorandum of
      understanding (MoU)
      urging the protection of the
      region's sea turtles ­
      seemingly a laudable
      achievement.

      But as Thailand's
      Agriculture Minister
      Chucheep Harnsawat
      admitted, the MoU
      contained no concrete
      measures. Plodprasop
      Suraswadi, the former head
      of Thailand's Fisheries
      Department, argued that by
      formally recognising sea
      turtle conservation as a
      regional issue, countries
      would come under pressure
      to protect the creatures.
      The smog crisis, however,
      has shown just how
      worthless such ''peer
      pressure" is.

      The MoU was actually
      signed in response to trade
      sanctions imposed last year
      by the US, which charged
      that shrimping fleets from
      Asean (and other
      developing) countries were
      slaughtering sea turtles.
      The agriculture ministers
      demonstrated their real
      concerns at the meeting by
      setting up a Shrimp
      Industry Task Force
      designed to do battle
      against foreign
      environmentalists, who
      forced the US to impose the
      embargo and are now
      stepping up their campaign
      against shrimp farms.

      What Asean needs are
      legally binding
      environmental agreements
      with teeth, including
      economic penalties for
      countries which break the
      rules. (Thailand briefly
      considered suing Indonesia
      for the damage caused by
      the haze, but rather
      predictably backed down.)
      If the region can agree on
      setting up a free trade area
      with common tariffs, it
      should be able to agree on
      common environmental
      standards.

      Some optimists see the
      current smog crisis as a
      turning point. Asean's
      leaders, they hope, will look
      at the apocalyptic cloud
      spreading over their region
      and come to their
      environmental senses.

      But like governments
      everywhere, those in
      Southeast Asia will only
      turn green if they are forced
      to do so by their people.
      Until that happens, Asean
      will remain a dirty word.

      James Fahn is The Nation's Environment Editor.
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