A "No American War of Independence" Timeline

My concept for this timeline is to look at a world in which the American War of Independence never happened. Instead, both sides compromised sufficiently that they remained politically united, with the North American component of the United Kingdom gradually gaining equality with and then dominance over the British component.

In order to think about this, we need to start by looking at a lot of things. Three of those classes of things are:

• Causes: Key events before war erupted, that led to the war. These are the potential points of divergence (PODs).
• Effects: Interesting events after the war. These are the events that will be shaped differently in the alternate timeline.
• Indicators: Events happening in our timeline after the war that give an idea of what would and wouldn't be possible in the alternate timeline.

I've also included

• a first stab at a "No American War of Independence" Timeline to illustrate some problems, and
• a more restricted and predictable version.

Further alternate history material can be found at my home page. I welcome feedback at David.Bofinger@dsto.defenceSpamProofing.gov.au (delete the spamproofing).