If you apply the basic strategy, the expected return is -0.67%
This means that if you bet $2 on each hand, you will lose $1.34 for every
100 hands |
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*Disclaimer* If you gamble using any of the strategies
suggested here, you do so entirely at your
You have been warned! |
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Follow these rules, for optimum play.
X stands for any picture card (J, Q, K).
A soft hand is one that contains an Ace counted as 11. It
is soft because the total can
A hard hand is one that does not contain an Ace counted as 11. It
is hard because the
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The strategy is based on mathematical probabilities. I used my analysis
programs to figure out this strategy, which fortunately agrees with other sources of Basic Blackjack Strategy. |
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Rationale
If the dealer's card is 2 to 6, there is about a 40% chance of the dealer
going bust.
Because of this, it is wise to try to get to 17 or more if the dealer's card
is
Your worst hands are when your first two cards do not include aces, and total
12
Because a total of 16 is so bad, you should always split a pair of eights.
You will Your strongest initial hand is obviously Blackjack. Your next strongest is A-A, which you should always split. Then, in order :
Initial 11 and 10 are strong, because you can double. You must make sure
you double All other combinations are weak, because they all favour the dealer.
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The Basic Strategy is calculated assuming an even deck - in other words,
there is always a 1 in 13 chance of getting a particular card. However, the chances of getting a particular card will vary as the deck is dealt, depending on how many times that card has already appeared.
If you make note of the cards that have been dealt, you can work out when
the mix of |
The next page explains Card Counting Strategies